Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | New York Dreams (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Reid | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birth of Cool | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zookeeper | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fireman Dan | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mastermind | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Celsius | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiamina | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borntostaythirsty | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stealthespotlight | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat On the Run | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlize Patron | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Providencia S.) – Providencia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broadway Girls | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Ancient Peace | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Girls | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paris Secret (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Wave | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Una Palabra | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lizzy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fly a Fantasy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seldovia | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Recalcitrant | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cocktail Cutie | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Scarlett | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Ella Dance | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Arousal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enjoy It Strait | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Richards Bello | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minister Shane | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hapi Hapi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Devil Moon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Habeas | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Storming Chrome | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy the Boot | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sai Con (FR) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop and a Tres | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Oro (FR) | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chirag | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Crusader | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mega Moon | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agapetos | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Go Go | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irondale | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenth Street Don | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anticipated | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusty Rusty | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notforlackofeffort | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prayforourcountry | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pars and Birdies | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oncoming | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Potente | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flint Stroll | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Post Facto | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Club Aspen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Explain This Audit | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bender | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosenquist | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halfbarberbingie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adare Manor | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Switch | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kirstenbosch | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamore | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothlikebuttah | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Panther | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Virat | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Really Big News | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tigerhon (FR) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greenbow | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Path | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naismith | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Book Smart | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bold Choice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danzing Cat | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whimsical Heir | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Amy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C Her Beauty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flymetothemoonbaby | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryder’s Candy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Carmen Miranda | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Hy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shocking Grey | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky for You | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Denim in Gold | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Lane | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Jae | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Diamond | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ma France (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nu Pi Lambda | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not Now | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.