Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tituba | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huntleigh | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flamand | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pachanga Loca | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chiquita Mosca | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Need Some Money | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful and Bold | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bundchen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Message | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donate Life | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tito’s N Kenz | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yellow Sun Dress | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Tsunami | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anoria | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifth Circuit | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Intermittent Fast | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Next Dot | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Piangere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hollywoodboulevard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Oscar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She a Baddie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mombayla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Chitarra (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Viewers Discretion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impeccable Taste | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dee Dee B | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agenda | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prana | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catherine Blaze | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Bit of Capitol | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Replenish | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caughtinmyweb | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie’s Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ardanwood | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flute Master | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oddsontony | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Code Violation | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mayfield Strong | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mike | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Freeze Pop | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| We the People | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Hero Status | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We the People | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Britain’s Kitten | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Business Model | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Reds | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dash Attack | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Such Sounds | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Ragtime Belle | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Sahlabiya | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Penumbras Maker | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Country | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Such Sounds | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tawaret | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determined Gold | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Izabellabella | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiromante (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime Belle | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seldom Seen | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camelot Beauty (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Proud Performer | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aleatory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Supreme | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vagaries (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sri Lanka | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mo Hope | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castlewarden | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Reagan | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Runningforjoy | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghent Road | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pilote Comete | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loyal Company | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Vector | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surface to Air | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King of Kentucky | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Boy Frank | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Demetrius | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Citizen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bewitch S.) – Bewitch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | War Like Goddess | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Best | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temple City Terror | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ensemble (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaton Rouge | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sopran Basilea (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A La Carte | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Heist | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Debate | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overbore | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Room | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O P Firecracker | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Elvis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Good Heart | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Itzos | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turf King (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Rising | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dunedin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spy Novel | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wico (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movisitor | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laver | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonstrike (GB) | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Than Looks | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Paw (IRE) | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fearless Soldier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.