Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Alexandra’s Song | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bledsoe | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tranche | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Early Munny | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Callin My Name | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nurcan | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief Joke | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Power | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beaudacious Colton | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hold the Phone | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | West Saratoga | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Snow Trouble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vitement | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Admiral | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Baytown Parfait | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Rush Is On | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Contrive | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missile | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stunningly | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Retro | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Active Lane | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Samaritan | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Upper Case | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Domina | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forenoon | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Afternoon Tea | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Walkn | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rock the Nile | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fracing Lucky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gather | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Destine to Race | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nikki M P | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hayunevano | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Condone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Dixie | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mustang Lady | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comparative | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chiquita Mosca | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | East Shore | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Candy Annie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Closed Caption | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Camp Hope | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hozier | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beatbox | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Liquor | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eons | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greyes Creek | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Ghost | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Bomb | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Henley’s Joy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Dream (FR) | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Background | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Forest | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ro Town | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half a Chance | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peacock Alley | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ziaerati | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobbie Sox | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vahva | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Statement | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Positano Sunset | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Like Magic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peacock Lass | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlee Mae | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miss Peabody | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shoplifter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unsung Melody | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bizzy Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linguistic | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Kaufymaker | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frozen Solid | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Her World (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laugh and Play | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Linguistic | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Lawson | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Covenant Lady | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dressed | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nota Bene | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Lafayette S.) – Lafayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hejazi | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corona Bolt | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gulfport | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lugan Knight | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane J | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Determinedly | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freezing Point | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Kentucky Utilities Transylvania S.) – Kentucky Utilities Transylvania S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dude N Colorado (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nagirroc | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candidate | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Stash | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andthewinneris | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rarified Flair | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Trail | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Webslinger | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Movisitor | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carl Spackler (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Central Bank Ashland S.) – Central Bank Ashland S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defining Purpose | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Wonder Wheel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Punchbowl | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defining Purpose | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Effortlesslyelgant | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Julia Shining | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guns n’ Graces | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pride of the Nile | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hay Stack | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Lil Miss Moonlight | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doral | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Penumbras Maker | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Best Performer | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pedigeek | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Costa Bella | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Stack | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robin Sage | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Idle Chatter | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heckled | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wits and Wagers | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mischief Lily | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Silent Story | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rosy Tomorrows | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kingmaking (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Time to Race | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.