Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Procrastination | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmen Miranda | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Denim in Gold | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liv and Let Liv | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benedict Canyon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Surge | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shambala Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Amy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jo’s Candy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Lucky Charm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’s Dayna | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blursday | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oak Creek Gal | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Code Ribbon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vandalia | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Heaven | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A New Peace | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Texthelegend | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palagio | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lift Off | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat On | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Gamble | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seventeen Black | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Billbernjoejohnick | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostly Act | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Six Feet | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship and Scam | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizz a Good Thing | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle John | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Express | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | We Need Marketing | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pars and Birdies | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Matt | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Heat | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catbernay | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Box of Chocolates | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Special | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Clutch | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pedro Perez | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vicente’s Shadow | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Royal Heroine S.) – Royal Heroine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Closing Remarks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Scary | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | School Dance | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Jar | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seisai (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nadette (FR) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Donttestyourluck | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaokoon | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batukhan (IRE) | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Chrome | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Curly | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Star | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tim’s Tribute | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agapetos | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bye Bye Buggsy | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Katerini | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Real Fire | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Good Boo Joo | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Slam Diego | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Ghostem | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanning the Globe | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Glenall (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Peppermint Flirt | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 10 | An Agent Mistake | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Weemissgrammy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 98 | Sensible Move | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.