Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Girly the Butcher | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cappy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morgan’s Bluff | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Upon a Star | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Princess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Total Bliss | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blueberry Queen | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Twirlin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ria Formosa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kindness Is Free | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Merry Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucago | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Search | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Faith | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inhalation (GB) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celebratory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Ron | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dontkissdaminister | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Soldier | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Doc Ballard | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glenholme | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pidin | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takemetothemoon | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Fox Hills | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barrell Craft | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pop Socks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Daddy Dave | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floki’s Flight | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reddington | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Universal Payday | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Song Runner | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agarramesipuedes | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Braccio Di Ferro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Vector | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Spur | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guaranteed Speck | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Warrior | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acamar | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Oro (FR) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Delta | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Vanishing | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Old Town Road | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Man On the Moon | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thenorthremembers | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pound Green | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Duke | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aequor | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Exchange | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onenightstandards | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Stat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trending | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surrogate | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Onenightstandards | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Meyer | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Modern Science (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honesto | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patou Road | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dominate Themoment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shadizaar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hitting Bombs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Vyvyanne | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clay Soldier | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Find Your Passion | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Darlin | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free to Roam | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Quick | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Girl Bye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Flag Flying | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stuck in Malibu | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Rocket | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Inscrutable | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moontap | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charleston Way | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Ready | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My First Date | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Light and Path | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tap and Chu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Love Mami Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.