Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Maker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stotland | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’tcrossthedevil | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Catcher | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Westward Look | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bender | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rufa Red Knot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosy Edge | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danehill Song | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chevy Girl | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sapadilla | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss My Kat | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Derby | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Go Go | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abeliefinthislivin | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mega Moon | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chao Phraya | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Giants Candy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | New York Dreams (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wyfire | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Really Big News | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrens World | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wound Up | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zookeeper | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Book Smart | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Spring | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Defiant | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Delta Wind | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Bit Sassy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Empress | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Refugee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrest | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Munny | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brother Reid | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost Alert | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Birth of Cool | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosenquist | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classymademoiselle | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getthemoney | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lily Poo | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal Lady | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coffee in Bed | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anywho | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| Coffee in Bed | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Buy American | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiergarten | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Arrow | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Precocious Times | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Bling | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vulin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cheekiest | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turquoise Bikini | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amage | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disruptive Artist | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz My Princess | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.