Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lansdowne (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Tiger | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderheart | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petruchio | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Law Abiding | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thanks Maggio (ARG) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beaudacious | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Fantasy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bell | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roses R Blue | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Sway | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Sunrise | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Sweet | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sensational Star S.) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Chosen Vron | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kings River Knight | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Sixpack | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Buck | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Peak | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Busker Allie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parco | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back On the Street | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlite in Heaven | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy L | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marks Hip | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valiancer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rexford | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jam Session | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Heart | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quagmire Magic | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Armagnac | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mammoth | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McLaren Vale | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Admiral | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taishan | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stay in the Game | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proof She Zips | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tom and Jazzy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upward Mobility | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Pappy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tangledupingrey | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Please Focus | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mila’s Papa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Filthy Fast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Hello | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dads Estrella | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Vegas | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Capital | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Joannie | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Nelson | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Lady | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henny On Ice | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Casino Annie | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Power | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donna’s Mischief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stay in Line | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bajan Bashert | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Isabel Ludlow | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | General Welfare | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Candy | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Idessia | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Shadows | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Lady | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Annie’s Hope | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Outlaw | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Betsy Is the Code | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Magic Girl | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cee Minus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Creative Peak | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Arousal | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mob Boss | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scary Fast Smile | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Bags | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Mistake | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handsome Gary | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Diablo Rojo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flint Stroll | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Explain This Audit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Fast Bro | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oncoming | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barsabas | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kimmer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Circleofchampions | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tembo | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Club Aspen | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.