Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War Ensign | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Hands Full | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Penalty | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Angus | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abby Dabby | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetasbaily | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iddy Biddy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Creed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conflicting Tales | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sweet Summer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | San Mateo Kat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie’s Angus | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Rose | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baseball Lover | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Louie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hostile Afleet | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cohere | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Premo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | State School Smart | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Q | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cloud Without Rein | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Carolina | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Man Can | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kislovodsk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Liberty’s Hauler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silver Bull | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Professor Higgins | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Opalescence | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fastnfurious | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Five | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | G’s Law | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Hunter | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foe | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fowler Castle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roll On Out | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bishops Bay | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Defender | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demolition Duke | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princely | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Motown Missile | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three On the Tree | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Butler Cabin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapthedrum | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Me a Ride | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scat Danz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gettleman | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moesahandful | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Solomon Vandy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | More Than Five | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stayinyourlane | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Two Rivers Over | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mo Saturdays | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hot Cuppa Coffee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Three Rough Shods | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ann’s Storm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Start Well | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Churchill | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crider Chase | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Dont Know Either | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star’s Dream | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zeerock | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overly Sweet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.