Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alliaceous | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spellbinding | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isolation | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kittenofthe Court | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Ending | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Averi Ever After | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L G Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Grey Beauty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet On Bourbon | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Grace | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swirling Wine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Sails | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allstar Magic | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lumberjack Empire | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brightnmorningstar | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cpriority | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northernreflection | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheatin Charlie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bankroll | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J B Gray | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Three Ks | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chrompton | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Tough Charlie | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justa Buster | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I Don’t Venmo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kajun Karma | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Boss Soss | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Credo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ranch Water | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Brother Go | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stiff Drink | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frenchy Departed | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Western Star | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peanut N Ike | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salute Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Regal Kingdom | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Manly Deeds | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trader Price | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Heatseeker | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Perfecta | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Connection | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron N Steel | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Iron Moon | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Blitz | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run On Aces | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea of Light | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creole Reb | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Merlazza | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bru Na Boinne | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Lady | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Huntleigh | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tappy Tone | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Alyssa | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pasta Salad Rhonda | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saenz | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nomadic Pride | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Salvaje | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Palace | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mercy Warren | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Happiness | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Misty Day | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Margie’s Kitchen | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Bluebonnet | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Speed | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jeopardy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rumpus | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rookery | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Miss G G | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Chablis | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dialherup | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom for All | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Raggity Sand | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Corsini | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Union | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Luxe | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Origami Girl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Persimmon Hill | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Beat | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Paloma | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dare to Wish | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystical Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady Samaritan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.