Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shes a Lucky Rebel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Jet | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Smoking | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calling | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightening Mo | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Golden Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starsnmotion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atalanta Asteria | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Comparative | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Chablis | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amisfield | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nancy Spain | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raggity Sand | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song Bridge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Persimmon Hill | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catherine Blaze | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Field of Vision | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Relic Hunter | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Hard Four | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 13 | Tambourine Star | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Gutzy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Woadie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blindedbythegees | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Autumns Strong Man | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Risktaker | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Holy Bayou | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Couyons Cause | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peanut N Ike | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merlazza | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ornately | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Huntress for Hire | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Shild O Mine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Wish | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mystical Fire | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | New Beat | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lure’em In | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Summer | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Destine to Race | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dare to Wish | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corsini | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mucho Macho Girl | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Urban Force | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bishops Bay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 12 | St. John’s | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 6 | First Mission | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Ocean City | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Quaternion | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Unload | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bettera | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uxmal | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moesahandful | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Right Karma | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Take Backs | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 3 | River Raft | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Albert M. Stall Memorial S.) – Albert M. Stall Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Island Hideaway (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trail Ridge Road | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Lucerne | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Philly Twirl | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shotgun Hottie | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flatter Me Silly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soft Touch | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Vinum | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Kings Princess | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Russian Mafia | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| Lake Lucerne | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gametime Gladiator | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Baseline Beater | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodythebidspotter | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Earl of Dassel | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Kigali | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sense You Asked | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Fight’n Ready | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neighbor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Julia’s Warrior | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Dream Force | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Big Commerce | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Guadalajara | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Banishing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Defender | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Denington | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Shoes | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Willakenzie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cagliostro | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hullinahurry | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hunter’s Drive | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Colonel Power S.) – Colonel Power S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All in Sync | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surveillance | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Evan Sing | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manny Wah | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Straight Answer (GB) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Pal Mattie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angaston | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hunter John | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kennesaw | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pyron | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Seven | 10.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sign of War | 12.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Roses | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mineshaft S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – Mineshaft S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tawny Port | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer of Medina | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Wireless | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoist the Gold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Blue Line | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Classic | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Fury | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Farmington Road | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Emmys | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Soul | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Bomb | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Street Money | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cavalry Charge | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pixelate | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corelli | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Tavern | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Rachel Alexandra S. Presented By Fasig-tipton) – Rachel Alexandra S. Presented By Fasig-tipton
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chop Chop | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoosier Philly | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Mischievous | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vahva | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knockyoursocksoff | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| Pretty Mischievous | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Risen Star S. Presented By Lamarque Lincoln And Lamarque Crescent City Ford) – Risen Star S. Presented By Lamarque Lincoln And Lamarque Crescent City Ford
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Curly Jack | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Heist | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Private Creed | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel of Empire | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harlocap | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sun Thunder | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Determinedly | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Two Phil’s | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapit’s Conquest | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Victory Formation | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crupi | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaq Diesel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Single Ruler | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet as Midnight | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.