Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Smart Monique 3.00 2.18 6.00 3.00 2.60
1 Candy On Top 2.00 1.00 3.40 3.00
6 Shezmisbehaving 15.00 7.00 6.60

$1.00 Exacta (3-1) Pays $8.30
$0.50 Trifecta (3-1-6) Pays $75.00
$0.10 Superfecta (3-1-6-7) Pays $53.60


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Miss Kaline 2.00 1.00 4.20 2.60 2.10
3 Prestigious 2.50 3.92 4.20 2.60
4 Jacqueline Cochran 1.80 1.17 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (1-3) Pays $6.80
$0.50 Trifecta (1-3-4) Pays $7.15


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Ice Queen 3.00 1.00 5.00 2.60 2.20
3 Dolly May (IRE) 2.50 3.87 3.60 2.80
6 Violet Storm 3.00 5.91 3.20

$1.00 Exacta (2-3) Pays $7.30
$0.50 Trifecta (2-3-6) Pays $13.85
$0.10 Superfecta (2-3-6-8) Pays $9.96


RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Horn of Plenty 5.00 2.58 11.40 4.00 2.40
5 Established 1.80 1.96 2.80 2.10
2 Italiano 3.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-5) Pays $12.20
$0.50 Trifecta (3-5-2) Pays $13.60
$0.10 Superfecta (3-5-2-1) Pays $3.08


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Teena Ella 3.00 2.53 6.60 3.80 3.40
5 Irish Rose 10.00 6.00 6.80 6.80
7 Make It Snow 12.00 5.62 19.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $39.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-7) Pays $357.15
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-7-8) Pays $399.18


RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Skinner 5.00 4.20 8.60 5.80 3.00
6 Texthelegend 5.00 2.69 9.00 3.80
3 Yellow Brick 2.00 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $25.00
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-3) Pays $40.25
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-3-1) Pays $17.28


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Spoiled Rotten 4.00 3.45 12.20 6.60 3.60
4 Sapadilla 3.50 1.09 3.60 2.40
5 Sugar Sugar 3.00 1.03 2.20

$1.00 Exacta (6-4) Pays $20.20
$0.50 Trifecta (6-4-5) Pays $19.70
$0.10 Superfecta (6-4-5-10) Pays $9.71


RACE NUMBER 8 (Lady Of Shamrock S.) – Lady Of Shamrock S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Ag Bullet 3.00 4.19 6.40 3.20 2.40
3 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 2.00 5.53 3.60 2.60
5 Princess Bettina 15.00 5.73 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-3) Pays $8.60
$0.50 Trifecta (4-3-5) Pays $12.25
$0.10 Superfecta (4-3-5-2) Pays $4.62


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.