Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sully | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Hejazi | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worcester | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sully | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Last One Perk | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Tok | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed of the Nile | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Don’t Get It | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Broken Breeze | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot On the Trail | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shvere Arbeter | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Beauty | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Square | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chao Mar | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hero Status | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Red Flag | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holden the Lute | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hero Status | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Mammoth | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Admiral | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Donttestyourluck | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russells Hustle | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glendale | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looks Rare | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Low Expectations | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reign Over Me | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deep River | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawasdee | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | My Harbors Dream | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Matt | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Brees | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joker Boy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sittin On Go | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paul Vincents Poem | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sawasdee | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bad Gary | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ring General | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Got No Munny | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hopkins | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McLaren Vale | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clem Labine | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Took Charge | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Traegar | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (La Canada S.) – La Canada S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirstenbosch | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Under the Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ganadora | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Colour (GB) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kirstenbosch | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Nadeshiko | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothlikebuttah | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Redline | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Augusta Melody | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Recall and Reload | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got Thunder | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anarchist | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thales | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of Makena | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Krahenbuhl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.