Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shocking Grey | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy On Top | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz My Princess | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegance Code | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Monique | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oat Milk Latte | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Conquest | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blursday | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit Rocks | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brutto | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nolo Contesto | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fireman Dan | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Storm | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wink and a Dream | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seattle Breakout | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Splash | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Aguililla | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Topolina | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roses and Candy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runninwiththeboyz | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fried Asparagus | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Boo Joo | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Lynn | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adam’s Creed | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Too Bossy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Math | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Famous Star | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katonah | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Potente | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenth Street Don | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hydro Frost | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mesut | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Posse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Give Me the Lute | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kanderel | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manitowish | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Summer Dream | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Memory | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hembree | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commander (FR) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commander Khai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Grazeful | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Shamrock | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Molotov | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegan | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Sunrise | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Harbor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold for Kitten | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angelcents | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phenom | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Noir | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Xmas Surprise | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secrets Told | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Founder’s Day | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starship Defiant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vella | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gianna’s Wild Cat | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Wahine | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Spring | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Empress | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Consternation (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beachgrass | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheerful Charm | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Hearted | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dolly May (IRE) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Heidelberg | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ice Queen | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lizy D | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Dancer | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Crown for Kitten | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Moon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Trojan Way | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.