Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Covert Kat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Beat | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Racket | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jerry’s Turn | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Late Call | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tepper | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Away From Home | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Testa | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Jojo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dunkle | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Bridges Road | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sedona Red | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Winging It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Guaranteed Speck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Raison the Glass | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shes a Gift | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Provocativa | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rough Enough | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ransoms Reward | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame the Vets | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kukaro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Joy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Penelope | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Apeal | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Star | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dignified | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Kath | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swashbuckle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elektronic | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee by the Sea | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Game Boy Benny | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Press | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Standup | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Energizer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unified Conquest | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Balistico | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Not Phar Now | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Regal Speaker | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Giant | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plenum | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extrasexybigdaddee | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Flint | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Strategy | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nantasket Beach | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Selfmade | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Grey | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wind Ninety Nine | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barrage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fifty One Fifty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Papa Chico | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Cool | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Etretat | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortheloveofart | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | W. P. Cadet | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Khozeiress | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | English Bee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breaking the Rules | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proven Strategies | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky’s Not Falling | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sole Volante | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mouillage (FR) | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Street Money | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Danger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nitrous Channel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Davis | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Game | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palace Kitten | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Creed | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Action | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissalot | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watch the Music | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greg’s Honor | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beauty Amazed | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | El Segundo | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am Resilient | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Best Distance | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krypton | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Capture Mi | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major King | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mane Champ | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leopardi | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gypsy Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Grunder’s Call | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.