Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heart Boy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Napa Dude | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Collision | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready On the Line | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream of Blessings | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buddha Boy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Go Gator | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Go Go Green | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Matters | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Attentive | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Street | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Tiger | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Wager | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Flag Alert | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Country | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Rock | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mana Kai | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andylithic | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Hero | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Preston Murray | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Armor Piercing | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aldo’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zach and Jill | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smokin Cloud | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Payoff | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pouncival | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solomons Gold | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Cloud | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All About Lucky | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Art Handler | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dare Dream Do | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | English Painter | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Flynn | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mehlek | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right On Richie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McMoney | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Tones | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Spreader | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabar Sul | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Firing Bullets | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Symphony | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agua Dulce (GB) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pallotta Sisters | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirty Thou Kelvin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Riding Pretty | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Metaphysical | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | State of Mind | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maroon Bells | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mohawk Trail | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nucci | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 40.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One America | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bird Wildcat | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Bouma | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Badbadbobby | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Play King | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shastree | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rabdan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Over the Channel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J P Hellish | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timmy M. | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marisa’s Mission | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Backchat | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Provision | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drillomatic | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Mar | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Best Defense | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boy o’ Boy | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lawful | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. American | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Line | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Answer | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Portofino | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fun American | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.