Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Pappy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Workday | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Herecomegeorgieboy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Ransom | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Prospect | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Owens | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Do It for Dave | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mickey Goldmill | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hondo Crouch | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ship and Scam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Margot’s Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worthiness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supercents | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parco | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What a Way to Go | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlite in Heaven | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forgiving Spirit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Path | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Nas | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shortman | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beaudacious | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talklessworkmore | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So I’m Told | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Post Facto | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chicknfingerfriday | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clooney | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reef City | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Curly | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep River | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Time | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flint Stroll | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | George Herman Ruth | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Algeria (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oncoming | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oculus | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Berolijean (FR) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodlum | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Derecho Dandy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Ynez S.) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fast and Shiny | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Dancing | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parody | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huntingcoco | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Doll | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justique | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Gal | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jordan | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excelia (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Wild Grazer (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fun Money | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Bettina | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always At Ease | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bellimbusto | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thread Count | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Havana Angel (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Arinniti (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sham S.) – Sham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reincarnate | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | National Treasure | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Packs a Wahlop | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reincarnate | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Newgate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spun Intended | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Boat Beach | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Avenue | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Script | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson Ridge | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dean Martini | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opry | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rip City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.