Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Chosen Vron | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Stand Taller | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resilient | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finneus | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big City Lights | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tigre Di Slugo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Moon Ice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regulation Dazed | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual Advisor | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chrome to Riches | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bronko Nagurski | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Transitory | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonesome Stew | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Notforlackofeffort | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Matters | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Both At Fault | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mila’s Papa | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bajan Bashert | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Nature | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danehill Song | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kind of Blue | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Not Kidding | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timely Luck | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Class | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Joe Don Looney | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thorne House | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moose Mitchell | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fore Flag | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alpine Thunder | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cibertruck | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen’s Code | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Larry’s Legend | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Press On | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smile for Glory | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Zog | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay in the Game | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charbonneau | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Drinker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doradus | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul of Midnight | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Walt | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eddie’s New Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alice Marble | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Summer | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taming the Tigress | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tam’s Little Angel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella D | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kleen Karma | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunshine Babe | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (California Cup Derby) – California Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Giver Not a Taker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crypto Ride | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passarando | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty John | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amigo G A | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merit Song | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geezer | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sell the Dream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Loyal to a Fault | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quickly Park It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carole Lombard | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Again | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grazed My Heart | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cast Member | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cholly | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Nyvan | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Know Cash Flow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holiday Arousal | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nolongerahobby | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leyas Candy | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Talker | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Donner Lake | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Bottle of Smoke | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coalinga Road | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Aligato | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kings River Knight | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carmelita’s Man | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Adams | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coalinga Road | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal ‘n Rando | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bang for Your Buck | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Luvluv | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | The Chosen Vron | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.