Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Las Cienegas S.) – Las Cienegas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brooke Marie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Edith | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Countess Rosina (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Flyer | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amy C (GB) | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Jae | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Address (IRE) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nyvan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Temper | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violet Crown | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cherry Chaos | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Our Family | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turquoise Bikini | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speaking Spanglish | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoove as Silk | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Point and Shoot | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Balenciaga Betty | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Nelson | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good as Gone | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liberal Lady | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Vow | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anybody’s Choice | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Filthy Fast | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Missed Call | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thanks Maggio (ARG) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conch Daddy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame George | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constant Conflict | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tofino Bay | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kimmer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Candy | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Commander | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time Together | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Hello | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Capital | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Kaline | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short Journey | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Vegas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacqueline Cochran | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shes Just Fluffy | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Mo Eddie | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tootufftoswallow | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Song of Shadows | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cuban Crisis (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Socially Smart | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Empire | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky for You | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sinners Saints | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denim in Gold | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Looks Like Money | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Karin With an I | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Italiano | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Established | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ted | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Next Revolt | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Guy Clay | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brace for Impact | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santa Cruiser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classier | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coulthard (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Box | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Code | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Give Me the Lute | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motorious (GB) | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maglev (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hembree | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jetovator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yeng Again | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Get Back Goldie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Commander (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Figureti (CHI) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Fisk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Odonata | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riverside | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Man | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harlocap | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt Supremacy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Habeas | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat On | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Excel Calculator | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roll On Big Joe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tio Magico | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Degree of Risk | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exaulted | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beef Winslow | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Balladeer | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agatino (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weegee | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evan Harlan | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Wonders | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Del Mo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sarwar (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.