Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saffa’s Day | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Taught | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | As Amatter of Fact | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joker Boy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Santos to Wilson | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Midnight Lightning | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Humblebumblefumble | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Mentirosa | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Codis Breaker | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 98 | King Adrock | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Doinitthehardway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teena Ella | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wudi | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wirly Girly | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Moon | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coffee in Bed | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roman Empress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chao Mar | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Pamela | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bali Dancer | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alphie’s Angel | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whimsical Heir | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Choice | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kiss My Kat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anna’s Music | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Game | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Little Bit Crazy | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scatchmejamin | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elegance Code | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hennys Crazy Train | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Rachel | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fia | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowl of Cherries | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Del Mar Drama | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optimas | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La V. | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Santa Ynez S.) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fast and Shiny | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lily Poo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parody | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Dancing | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justique | 0.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Doll | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Huntingcoco | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rhythem On Stage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo Time | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Owens | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montana | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Logon to Win | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Surf | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clouseau | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.