Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spy Novel 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Smart N Sharp 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Keyser 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 John Macarthur 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Befriendtheenemy 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Matro 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Cyclone Ranger 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Ponti Pride 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Imdabestintheworld 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hay Hay Paula 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Radiant Gem 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Katiesdreamgirl 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Rubysa 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 La Costa 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Strategy Queen 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Scenic View 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Politely Crowned 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nova Folha 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Christensen 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Swan Lake 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mister Abarrio 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ti Sento (IRE) 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Mehlek 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hard Mission 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Huasteco 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Super Spreader 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Raise the Rent 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Frosted Armour 3.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 High Yield Kitten 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Caramel Chip 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Caminero 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Smokey White 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mighty Tough 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Straight Shot 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 I’ll Figure It Out 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Yes This Time 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Eyes On Target 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tax 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Portfolio Company 4.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Samburu (GB) 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Never Explain 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Into the Sunrise 20.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Laughing Boy 30.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Sanctified 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Lookin At Roses 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Seven Channels 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Yamato 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kentucky Pharoah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Limehouse S.) – Limehouse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Two of a Kind 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Super Chow 1.80 1.3 2-1
1 1 Turbo 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 X Y Point 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cajun Dream 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Dangerous Ride 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Cash Run S.) – Cash Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lynx 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Padma 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Infinite Diamond 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Alma Rosa 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Looking for Hope 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Atthecrossroads 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Arella Star 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Miss Ucrania 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Pure Pauline 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Freedom Matters 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bemma’s Boy 2.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Diamond Oops 6.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Ever Dangerous 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Beuys (IRE) 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Value Proposition (GB) 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Easy Time 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 He’spuregold 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 A Rose for Raven 10.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Omaha City 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Royal Luck (CHI) 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Swing Shift 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mucho Macho Man S.) – Mucho Macho Man S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Il Miracolo 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 General Jim 4.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Laver 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Legacy Isle 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Fliparino 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Lord Miles 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mr Bob 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Dreaming of Kona 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Eyes On the King 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Baby Billy 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Wine Empire 30.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Live Is Life 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Inflation Adjusted 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kartano 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Race Craft 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Six Minus 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Kitten Mischief 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Malex (GB) 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Shadizaar 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 What Say Thee 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Surrogate 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.