Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Joe Hernandez S.) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hit the Road | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air Force Red | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Like Strait | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Front Run the Fed | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irideo (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lane Way | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatmakessammyrun | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sigiloso | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Ocho (CHI) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Impossible Task | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Order and Law | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Eyes West | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baladi | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Act | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Direct Line | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Robert J. Frankel S.) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bipartisanship (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Goddess | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Avenue de France (FR) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | England’s Rose | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island of Love (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Closing Remarks | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrens Candy Girl | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Heat | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scarabea | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Agador Spartacus | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Straighttodasource | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Samba Flavor | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Esa | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Grit | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Norwester | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boomer Justice | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Western Cape | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valiancer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lasmuigh (GB) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nielson | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Taxes | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johannes | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donttestyourluck | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Mogul | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Pistolero | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duran | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tapit Down | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Texthelegend | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Calm Sea | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Storm the Night | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Encode | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Art | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Refugee | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oncoming | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kant Beat the Rock | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Leaf | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Cat | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Houndstooth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katerini | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Real Fire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Katerini | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Albayaader (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saddle Up Jessie | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olivia’s Choice (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buy American | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cailin Diana | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Above Suspicion | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amage | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agree to Settle | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Missing Penny | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Side by Side | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Las Flores S.) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Charm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lexington Humor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady T | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classical Romance | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manorelli | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doris Mae | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Runner | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anacapa | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Creative Peak | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Khai | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Code Duello | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’ll Stand Taller | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exceed Speed Limit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doitforandrew (GB) | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Square Cat | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Law Abiding | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Virat | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Altruist | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Augusta Melody | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tulsa Tornado | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Recall and Reload | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.