Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Telephone Talker | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack the Cat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Walk Up Music | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Thunder | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Flint | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Backwoods Boogie | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Man Left Behind | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Astroturf | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cupid’s Dude | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Porter | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robintakincharge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Exult | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Officer Country | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Benelux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strong Again | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Joker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shesterkin | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centrist Road | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodlookinrags | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Case | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Powertrain | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Checkitup | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Resolve | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sugar Swirl S.) – Sugar Swirl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frank’s Rockette | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Cadence | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edie Meeny Miny Mo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coppelia | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Restofthestory | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Destiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Passion Plus | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Voice | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Impressive | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Fled the Scene | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nana Fanny | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Basilia | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spectacular Gal | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vandalia | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grey Charlotte | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandpiper Memories | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Expect More | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jungfrau | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Collier’s Time | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Change | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Dream | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smile Mon | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Knight | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Billy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Rampart S.) – Rampart S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colorful Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allworthy | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maryquitecontrary | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zainalarab | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Music City Star | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soul of an Angel | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indicia | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Illiogami | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Suwannee River S.) – Suwannee River S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bay Storm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scotish Star (ARG) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Rockstar (GB) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Holiday | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keeper of Time (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Vision | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kahiko | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Wow | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Time (GER) | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Touch of Class | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mr. Prospector S.) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sibelius | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prevalence | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Ernie | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | County Final | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surly Furious | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dean Delivers | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seal Beach | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steal Sunshine | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speaking | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Que No | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pappacap | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ft. Lauderdale S.) – Ft. Lauderdale S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Colonel Liam | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Man | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Cause | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winfromwithin | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Ghost | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Ready | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Sphinx | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Decorated Invader | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Good Governance (GB) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pao Alto (FR) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tango Tango Tango | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carpenters Call | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marwad (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Harlan’s Holiday S.) – Harlan’s Holiday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Simplification | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O’Connor (CHI) | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skippylongstocking | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer of Medina | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Bend | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clapton | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike Hard | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooke Creek | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Marketsegmentation | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Shuffle | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Theorem | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mozay | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Insatiable | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m So Sorry | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lavish Habits | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mint Edition | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sign of Peace | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Account | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.