Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mosler’s Image | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Mercury | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shes the North | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emirates Affair | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly Social | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Pride | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Machisima | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chica Boom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allagash Run | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Connection | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tactical Force | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Dream | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Myth | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warp Speed Beast | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Mark | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ozah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mundo Mix | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Twins Sneakers | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strasbourg | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiquirin | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fishing for Fun | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Me Archie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trappe the Wind | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jrue Breeze | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Katz | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corporate Affair | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Than Gray | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Extraction Will | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Red | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Imposter Syndrome | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rule It | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soupersilverdollar | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | People Force | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Express | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Island Swagger | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Fantasy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epeius | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Victory Line | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rigel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heat of the Night | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Truths | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thenorthremembers | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Spa | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Theo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duchossois | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Amadeus | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incitatus | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scarlet Stripe | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Tap | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poiema | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doll Baby | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olivia Darling | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blustery | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miszlo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rosebud’s Hope | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beechnut Trophy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Traffic Song | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Day (FR) | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Enough (GB) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Candy Girl | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Bonnie T | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Nterprise | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Nana | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonar | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Karenville | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosa Star | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Kimberly S | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | California Gigi | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Actress | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Bode | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kestenna (GB) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Star | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capridrey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thrilling Baby | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Belita | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.