Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penumbras Maker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Penumbras Maker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zipadoo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Evie Does It | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mademoisellejackie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Rose’ All Day | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sun Bee | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiger Tap | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just North | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Metaphysical | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Claudette’s Lady | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Idle Chatter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Poshly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Soviet Excess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Commanding General | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Squeeze | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ben Copenhagen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Exchange | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Del Griffith | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Di Baggio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cactus Jack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Decaf | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Nugget | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotline to Heaven | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dignified | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Apeal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Look Up to Heaven | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mudshaft | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses for Ashley | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s So Pretty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Exchange | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Serenade a Kitten | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zodiac Princess | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose E Holiday | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovin Livin | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Rusia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Domineering | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Tropical Park Oaks) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Light | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Personal Best | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omixochitl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surprisingly | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Philly Twirl | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumeirah | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunesh | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Oats | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Wow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Loco Abarrio | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Humor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Khozan One | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Rhodium | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khozeiress | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capture the Lion | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Organist | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Star | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dontkissdaminister | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Economic Hangover | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Built Different | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lay the Groundwork | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charmed Way | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sals Dream Girl | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demogorgon | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Judith | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tropical Park Derby) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Sonata | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota Gold | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steady On | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Axthelm | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Churchtown | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Native Thunder | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Danger | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Washington | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Base | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand David | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Glider | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Night Jumper | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Venezuelan Triumph | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Marwad (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Indra | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peachy Weachy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pens Street | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaeko | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ninja Abarrio | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hazardous Humor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Simplify (ARG) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Backchat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Board Certified | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Badbadbobby | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quantum Theory | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Samuel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Segundo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister J T | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Federal Exchange | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eden Paradise | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twelve O’Clock | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Danley | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Canyouhearmenow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Karnak | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gypsy Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Red Hurricane | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Van Dusen (GB) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.