Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Turf Accountant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Royal | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Psychedelic | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Mika | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bet the Howes | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Red Hot | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luminant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Magic Call | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Bey | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Marley Luck | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christensen | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Bey | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | National Unity | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Boy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Face Abarrio | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Extendo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Easy as A. B. C. | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mousefast | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seax | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discreetly Thrifty | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aldo’s Dream | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andylithic | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zach and Jill | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Star | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Ginger | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Songteller | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lookout | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marthamaywhovier | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ave Fenix | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Delta Red | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pomona’s Bullet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Border Town | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principled Stand (GB) | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inhalation (GB) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hawk | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominate Themoment | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Journeyman | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Curly | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Extrasexybigdaddee | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Universal Payday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fifty One Fifty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Start | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Cay | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream On Baby | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Changeordersonny | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winooski | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Break the Ice | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dontonio | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr Post | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endorsed | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cattin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paco’s Pico | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hammer Lane | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legends Can’t Die | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Kitten | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shivaree | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Alliance | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Poet | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Not Phar Now | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meetmeinkingston | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Detroit City | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Cab | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full Disclosure | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Duke | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Mischief | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Poet | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Hopeful | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Enbarr | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sosua Summer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Villegas Swing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. American | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmic Speculation | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Getaway | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Rico | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Maverick | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redisur | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Far From Home | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.