Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Hills | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glitter Lake | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Your Royal Coil | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Prevails | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot On the Trail | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Memorable | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oil Can Knight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reckoning Day | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Treasure | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | June Gloom | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makah Lane | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Diablo Rojo | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfecto Amor | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Dominance | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thales | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Distorted Math | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Road | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Crusader | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haskelled | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Violet Storm | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nearest N Dearest | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lasting Love | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justin’s Lady | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Newton | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cat Bandit | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Villa Nova | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starship Defiant | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Founder’s Day | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Act of Serendipity | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whistler’s Style | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shared Future | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aqua Julia | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angelcents | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Debt Monger | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nolongerahobby | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Around the Dial | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Horn of Plenty | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rally Cat | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outright | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betito | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swamp’n Ain’t Ez | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Matt | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catbernay | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rawhide Rawlins | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harper’s Gem | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Behavior | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Count Tolstoy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sayers | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Talkative Gal | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Joy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take a Leap | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soul Sweet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A New Peace | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rain Diva | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smilin Evie | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Windribbon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Larry’s Legend | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disko Tribute | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sawasdee | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Don Looney | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Head for Business | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prodigal Son | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Thunder | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (King Glorious S.) – King Glorious S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Giver Not a Taker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merit Song | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belly Up | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geezer | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amigo G A | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Ride | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Please Focus | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tom and Jazzy | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.