Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Early Release | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mentirosa | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Him Do | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Lightning | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flame Rider | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Humblebumblefumble | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Western Cape | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Refugee | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Attenzione | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil Moon | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ivory Sky | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straighttodasource | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Marks Hip | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top of My Game | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Magician | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritist | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrens World | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Cross Knight | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Danzing Road | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pat’s Lucy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Wish | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mercy Now | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Only Lightning | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard But Smart | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anacarava (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Sally | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Swamp’n Ain’t Ez | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Wilbur | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highly Distorted | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alexander’s Dream | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Count Tolstoy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Storm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mama Thornton | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mitico | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fireman Dan | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipper | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Granada Flavor | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maynard | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nice Guy Clay | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoop Dream | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Classic | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ice Storm | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roll On Big Joe | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gilmore | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loco Luna | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Altai | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Lute | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excel Calculator | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Donttestyourluck | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Mo | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Man | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Talkative Gal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everlys Girl | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ardis | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sangre Azul | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Nap Time | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Harbor | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starlet S.) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doinitthehardway | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncontrollable | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pride of the Nile | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faiza | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Touch | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classymademoiselle | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Shiny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.