Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shell Shock | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Sagey | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Mandate | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Nushi | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Arlene | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gather in Bali | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romance Novel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Beauty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magical Peapod | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brittle and Yoo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | World of Wonder | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Rhythms | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kimberley Dream | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charge Account | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stanley Market | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Real News | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With Verve | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Street | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N June Bug | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hemp Heaven | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Violent Gigi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorary Degree | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jingle | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Market Development | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Keen Mind | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jacks Fire Balls | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashwins Orb | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Father Patrick | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mark the Moose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Right of Rush | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Boss | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Pit | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Consider | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yono | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vasilevskiy (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Boss Ben | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One More Baby | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sono Grato | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Azzurro | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome’s Right | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Filippo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Luna | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prestonsbird | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Holiday House | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Bouma | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Freshwater | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Joey Freshwater | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Inspeightoftrainer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | O’Conner Sunset | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joey Freshwater | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hill of Tara | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wilderzar | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Easy Days | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recon | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Color Field | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Feeling | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velocimo | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Runner | 50.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Border Spin | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fashion Munny | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Boudin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Brilliant Colors | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dreamfactor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bluelightspecial | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Lady Bailey | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Black Forest | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peacock Lass | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Lady | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Like Magic | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Willow Bend | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | East Shore | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Candy Annie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mahaamel | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Icon | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floki’s Flight | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Extravagate | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Raid | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Touch Code | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freeze Pop | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Group Eighteen | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cousin Larry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Two Birds | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gunning | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | She’s All Class | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scenic Masterpiece | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olga Isabel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mercy Warren | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Napa Candy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Stripe | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Me Darling | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Code Name Kate | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cancel This | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Duplicitous | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dame Joviale | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Flashy Charge | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Broke | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strava | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mailman Money | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gagetown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ricochet | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nepotism | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Blue Line | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mohaafeth | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major General | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uber Kirk | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tartufo | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silk Trade | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jungle Warfare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Texas Red Hot | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Briefcase Bully | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hazel Rah | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Commonwealth Turf S.) – Commonwealth Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Purrform | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Base | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Actuator | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mount Rundle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Running Bee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Red Danger | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Action Pass | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Portfolio Company | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Barberini | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fighter in the Win | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trademark | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Uncle Berley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Victory March | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ev’s Sherman | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Option | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Debate | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mamzooj | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Craig | 3.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Napa Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flute Master | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arrogates Spirit | 5.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cant Be Doin That | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magilla | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Patou Road | 8.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romanichal | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.