Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 12, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Feathers (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nice Ice 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Kuora (PER) 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Varoma 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 A New Peace 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Octane (BRZ) 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Whistler’s Style 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Careless Kitten 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Memes 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Samba Flavor 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Pittsburgh 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Armaveer 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Maqamat 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 English Encounter 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fast and Shiny 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Happy Gal 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Queenzy 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Princess Bettina 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Pride of the Nile 3.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Thebestisyettobe (IRE) 2.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Classymademoiselle 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Faiza 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Teena Ella 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Ag Bullet 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Miss Monarch Bay 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Princess Magic 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Poetica 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Lily Poo 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Wudi 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ballet Dancing 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dendera 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Glenall (IRE) 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 School Dance 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Maeve of Connaught (IRE) 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Belle Cherie 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sixteen Arches (IRE) 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Claddagh Cure 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ice Storm 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Post Facto 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Loco Luna 5.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Argentina Cries (IRE) 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Reign Over Me 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Rich Gold 3.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Mr. Fighter 30.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Lord of Light 8.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Beskar 6.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Lampy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Kathryn Crosby S.) – Kathryn Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gold for Kitten 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sugar Fix 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Burgoo Alley (IRE) 1.80 3.4 6-1
4 4 Bipartisanship (GB) 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Warrens Candy Girl 4.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Royal Address (IRE) 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Pulpit Rider 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Izzy Em 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Delta Wind 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wrong Turn Cupid 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Big Summer 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 She’s Bulletproof 4.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Twentyseventrouts 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Vegan 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Vella 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Tiger Spice 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Spanish Channel 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Glorious Spring 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Roman Empress 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Paulliac (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 De la Luna 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Ransomware 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Fleet Feet 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Azure Star (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Secret Treasure 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Stonks 15.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Daryl’s Bolt 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 As One Does 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Keen to Go 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Low Expectations 50.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Deep River 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.