Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 5, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Majesty 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Synnin and Winnin 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Ivory Sky 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 New York Dreams (GB) 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Chicago Soldier (IRE) 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Precedent 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Curly Esa 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Famous Star 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Honeymoon Suite 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Mastermind 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Tenth Street Don 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Commander Carl 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Apfel 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Straighttodasource 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bizzy Gal 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Chick’s Dig It 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Mister Beams 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Marks Hip 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wegotbeeronice 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hialeah Hottie 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Draw Near 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Love Our Family 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Short Journey 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Anacarava (IRE) 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Royale Flare 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Forest Acclamation 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Liberty Forever 2.50 1 2-1
8 7 Exceed Speed Limit 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Catemaco 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Prayer of Jabez 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 I Know Cash Flow 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Nice Guy Clay 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Resilient 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 98 El Diablo Rojo 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 D D S Express 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tizlightning 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Earls Rock (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Vantastic 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Gypsy King 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Flashiest 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Rip City 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Zoffarelli (IRE) 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crowning Gold 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Pacific States 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Vinny the Coin 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Napoleonic Code 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mobe Town 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Spiritist 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sippin Whiskey 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Creative Peak 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Neptune’s Storm 12.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Gregory’s Pride 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Tulsa Tornado 6.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Respect the Code 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 I’ll Stand Taller 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Club Aspen 10.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Niles Channel 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Awesome Rhythm 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Tio Magico 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Derecho Dandy 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Kimmer 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Magic Man 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Doc Adams 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 High Heater 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Holiday Arousal 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Back Ring Luck 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Zimba Warrior 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Big Buzz 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Outright 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Today Matters 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Little Demon 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Direct Line 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Moorea Time 0 0-1
3 3 Cocktail Princess 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Smiling Amy 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Carole Lombard 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Cherry Chaos 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Nyvan 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Turn of Foot 10.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Golden Temper 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Moorea Time 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Vacant Seat 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Sarande 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Bubbles for Mia 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.