Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crafty Don | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spark (PER) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Titos | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Code Name Brody | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chrome Finish | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Trick | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marcel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spotted Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Noicattaro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Cardo | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Boldacious | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ingreido | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fore On Seven | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Saint | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mapache G | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Imperial King | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fran’s Worrier | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Lucky | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Otis Otis Otis | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bailey | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepe and Heywood | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Garner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Even Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nick the Cardshark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bellswillberinging | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brummagem | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blind Sight | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Special Freedom | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | School of Thought | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | Angelus Warrior | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Morocco | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wall | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Miracle Silver | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Devious Mo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | The Exception | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hard Lighting | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 8 | Muchacho Macho | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Longtail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Goodluckchuck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Omati | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Frosted Indian | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Bumperdoo | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prairie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Welling | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bright Forecast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evey’s Candy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howgreatisnate | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Mule | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riccio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | R B’s the Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tale Gatoring | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Frosted | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alignment | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rayo Negro | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allaboutthebeach | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Ride | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Normalizeddeviance | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pallieter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.