Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Phenom 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Albayaader (IRE) 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Rebel Girl 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Infinite Empire 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Side by Side 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sinners Saints 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Saddle Up Jessie 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Hayley Levade 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flame Rider 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Geezer 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Littlebrotherjoey 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Let Him Do 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Otro Mas 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Warrens World 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Humblebumblefumble 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Myfavoritedaughter 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Deise Delight (IRE) 1.80 1.3 2-1
5 5 Frazzled 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Noble Hearted 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Cheerful Charm 30.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Consternation (IRE) 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Sweet Talked 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Ice Queen 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Baby’s Dream 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kitten Calls 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Shez Our Arch 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 I Give Up 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Sweet Heidelberg 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Bali Dancer 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sister’s Revenge 6.00 7 13-1
2 2 Parco 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Taming the Tigress 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Beauty 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Essential Business 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sunshine Babe 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Everlys Girl 5.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Baby Kristen 3.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 La Deuxieme Etoile 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 O’Neill’s Legacy 30.00 8 15-1
9 9 Avery Blue 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Johannes 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fort Warren 3.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Texthelegend 2.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Spun Intended 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Mr Fisk 4.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bolt Supremacy 8.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Habeas 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Genius Jimmy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Trickle In 4.00 1 2-1
9 8 Gallovie (GB) 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Equilove (IRE) 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 A New Peace 10.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Invincibella (GB) 5.00 3 6-1
6 5 Annie Graham 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Coruscation 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Blushing (FR) 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Draw Me 12.00 3.4 7-1
10 9 Flat Out Joy 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 98 Cherished 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pioneering Papa 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Stayin’ Out Late 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 So I’m Told 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Divine Feminine 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Fireman Dan 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Sawasdee 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Wink and a Dream 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sayers 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hey Jasper 30.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Come On Come On 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Adriatic 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shes’a Perfectlady 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Soaring Sky (IRE) 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Briefcase Girl 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Bleu Ballon 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Baby Steps 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Woodbine Way 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Secrets Told 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Tom’s Beauty 4.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Aas de Faust (GB) 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Reinecke 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tayet 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gold Dragon Queen 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 With This Vow 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Angel Nadeshiko 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Smoothlikebuttah 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Aqua Julia 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Anacapa 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Trouville 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.