Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 29, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Cape Cod Causeway 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Pimenova 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 Photon 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Bavarian Creme 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Can’t Fool Me 10.00 3.7 7-1
1A 11 Arisaema 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Succulent 4.50 4 8-1
5 4 Lem Me Drink 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Honor Star 30.00 6 11-1
6 5 She’s a Natural 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 12 Yogi 5.00 SCRATCH
1 8 Summer Takeover 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Cleat 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Captain Quick 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 War Fighter 2.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Chucka Moon 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Clash A. J. 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Capleton 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 6 Stealththirtyfour 4.50 7 13-1
1A 5 Golden Purchase 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 10 Crack the Code 3.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Happy Bob 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shipsational 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Winit 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Money Supply 2.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Three Jokers 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Perceived 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Triple Elvis 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Luni Sima 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Hippodrome 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Awad S.) – Awad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dandy Handyman 0 0-1
4 4 Freedom Trail 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dandy Handyman 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sendero 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Let’s Go Big Blue 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Conman 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 El de Chimi 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Noble Huntsman 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Kelso H.) – Kelso H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shackqueenking 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Baby Yoda 1.20 1.9 3-1
3 3 Morello 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Empty Tomb 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Double Crown 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Title Ready 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mrs. Green 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mischievous Dream 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Stop War 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Strong Odor 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gogo Shoes 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mademoiselle Nova 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Secret Time (GER) 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Timeless Journey 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chorus Girl 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Tuscan Queen 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Customer List (FR) 2.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Caironi 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Parnac (FR) 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Icy Stare Down 12.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Malibu Curl 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tequilera 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Quaria Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Invincible Gal (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boston Post Road 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Oxana 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Glass Ceiling 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dr B 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Corey 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Movie Moxy 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 W W Fitzy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Bold Ruler S.) – Bold Ruler S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Steinbeck 0 0-1
5 5 Greeley and Ben 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jaxon Traveler 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Runninsonofagun 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Eastern Bay 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Meraas (GB) 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Factor It In 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Repo Rocks 10.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Jalen Journey 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 Drafted 6.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Steinbeck 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Relate 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Inflation Adjusted 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Royal Spirit 4.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Frenchboro 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Six Minus 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 St. Joe Louis (GB) 4.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Fatima’s Blessing 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sonic Speed 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Hollywoodhellraisr 15.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Shinsun 10.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Cagney 30.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Sell Something 30.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Khafre 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Blu Grotto 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Baton 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ria’s Angel 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.