Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cat Got Lucky | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Den’s Rose | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heady Moves | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Polly Spent It | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Pearl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Gray | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shamayim | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eldon’s Samurai | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aquimine | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cinco Richie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Prince | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mountain Breeze | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Delight | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Skipper | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t That a Kick | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Squillions | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Templar Red | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palacein | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Constitution Lady | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minnesota Nice | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Ways | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marceline | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Always Be Dancin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Rose | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello in There | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hannah Fo Fannah | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Va Voom | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vica Pota | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birdeaux | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat Tale Sky | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gold N Silver | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prime Code | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shotgun Up | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazen in the Park | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Bird’s Storm | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | John Louis’ Bevo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Creative | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heart Headed Arky | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | D J’s Imperio | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ Okie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gurkha Gold (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saturday Service | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Biz | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cato’s Lady | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Midnight | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Tidelands | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grass Queen | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pumpkin Bread | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sexy Rags | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild Prospect | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tantima | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Memorable Flight | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Izeadistortedlady | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sherrys Baby | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lanky Lou | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miz McCoy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wildstarinthesky | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosita La Carinosa | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grace Day | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Contempo Gray | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I Guess Not | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Far From Final | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atta Party | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robert’s Ghost | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Invariably | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissofthenile | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Holdem | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acehigh Royal | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disco Danzing | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Swanage | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Waterworks | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hushed Court Room | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rumpus | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flyta | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skykat | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poet Laureate | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landslid | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jade Empire | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Including Ellie | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rivercrest Girl | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Quest | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.