Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Starship Skywalker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Alfredo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King D | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danley | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sunspot | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eden Paradise | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Matt | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Impetuous Soul | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluto’s Candy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Bitesalot | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mud Bug | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highjump Charlie | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arevalo | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sovereign of Speed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dirt Road Dollars | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Camptown Races | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Finish | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geoscience | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Action Dream | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Negligence | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Authentic Heart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskeyonhislips | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. American | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Spreader | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready On the Line | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Bey | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mana Kai | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paradise Drive | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Sinatra | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vanishing Interest | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breeze Baby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | War Feather | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hope in Him | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banker’s Hours | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lost a Legend | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candenza | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Mahogany | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Jet Heir | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trinni Summer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Surprise | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Second Louie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fly the W | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Theo | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thenorthremembers | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rye Sense of Humor | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Benelux | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Hope | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poco Charlie | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Croi Mor | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Sarcastic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Prince | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Tito’s | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Trident | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Truths | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Star Juancho | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boldness | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Cairo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Time Revival | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Yield Kitten | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grand Rock | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tumiga | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mehlek | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Befriendtheenemy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smooth Rico | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Clearance | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gerard | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zonal | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shankar | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikki Noots | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Abarrio | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Antillean | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Drug (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancin Dee | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Here Comes Lovie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Semiramis | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Bode | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Novelera | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardspun Woman | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | South Pacific | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hotter Than July | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | First Gold | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Vets | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Centsational Grace | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Atomic Rose | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twin Cause | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thelastbulletsmine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Great Kath | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Hay Paula | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Nadine | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chitienne | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lovelorn Lady | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veloce Bella | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkin Tipsy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Encounter | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grainger County | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Distractor | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Glaze | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ludington | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speargun | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Del Griffith | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Privet Moon | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensei Lawrence | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tiz a Giant | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Admiral | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jan’s Girl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Surrogate | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bucktown | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tepper | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Red Line Overdrive | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alyanaabi | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andy Walks With Me | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Road | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bosshog Them Dukes | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calzone | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.