Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 16, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Littlebrotherjoey 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Take Charge Curly 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Stafford to Kupp 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Goldenspa 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Beskar 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lampy 12.00 4 7-1
3 3 Pacific States 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atomic Drop 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Funkenstein 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Big Talker 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Stone’s River 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Club Cal 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Nolongerahobby 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tangledupingrey 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Montana 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Regulation Dazed 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Clouseau 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Cali Kinetic 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Rhythem On Stage 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lemon Sushi 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 American Cat 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 5 Smile for Glory 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Magnificent Ride 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Irondale 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 98 Carol’s Comic 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sky On Ice 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lady Noguez 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Octane (BRZ) 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Founder’s Day 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Dancing Dana 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Fairy Tale Bliss 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Isla Rose 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Tiz a Macho Girl 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Starship Defiant 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Stateforest 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 A Broken Breeze 2.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Jamminjl 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sugar Kisses 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lady Protonico 4.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Measureofdevotion 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flint Stroll 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Time to Party 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Petruchio 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Durante 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Caisson 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Canelo 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Wellswort (IRE) 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mo Them Down 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Never Seen Before (IRE) 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Socal Red 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Respectfully 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 She’s Bulletproof 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Lady Maryann 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Vegan 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Everlys Girl 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 O’Neill’s Legacy 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Keep Your Coil 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Laurel Canyon 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (California Flag H.) – California Flag H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hail Freedom 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 The Chosen Vron 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Aligato 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jetovator 8.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Coast of Roan 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 None Above the Law 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Hot Box 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Smuggler’s Run 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Sunrise Journey 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Finneus 20.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Straight Up G 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.