Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodbetterbest | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Key to Success | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbetterbest | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Has the Look | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Spirited | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thestral | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unescorted | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Under the Bed | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Phoenix | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keepcalmcarryon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Norther | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Garmento | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Creed | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Cunningham | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Official Business | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Right Tone | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maasai Warrior | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Jury | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mint | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freeze Pop | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Away From Home | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Spark | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vale | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ra’s Al Ghul | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unlimitedpotential | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Bias | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lupo’s Legacy | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redemption Time | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Room | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rampatious | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kaufymaker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mumayaz | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Switzer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apache Tears | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sutherland | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Willtorun | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Vee Cee | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oxwood | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Badgeball | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stride | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Data Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dr. Duke | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just Say When | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trust Daddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sosua Summer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| With This Ring | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Julia Shining | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Positano Sunset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostly Girl | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acrimony | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roman Goddess | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Julia Shining | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theroanrunner | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penny Arcade | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | With This Ring | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Minute Lick | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moral Turpitude | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vogelsang | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Divine | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sun Valley Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tabor Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Franklin S.) – Franklin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caravel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Change of Control | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brooke Marie | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elle Z | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Credit | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Devine (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bout Time | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tobys Heart | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thundering Creed | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Have A Good Day (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Querobin Dourada | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Violenza | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miner’s Queen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Illegal Smile (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Scroll | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Shirt No Shoes | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gagetown | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Classic | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rising Empire | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uber Kirk | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A C Expressway | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spankster | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Briefcase Bully | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stay Lost | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Audaciousness | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Words of Praise | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Psychedelic | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Botanical | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Peabody | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dot Marie | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Neda | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pigeon Cay | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Performer | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Junipermarshmallow | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs. Astor | 6.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Our Dotsie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Safeen | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Malawnia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Beat the Estimates | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.