Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heartbreak Kid | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glendale | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Horace Mann | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Partner Glen | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Slap | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giacometti | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alexander Helios | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corazon de Lucia | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stonks | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Fall | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Valiancer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Post Facto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Diablo Rojo | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | All Eyes West | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Established | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Cut | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manitowish | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heartfullofstars | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Diablo Rojo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Va Va Voom | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Renee | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twentyseventrouts | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roses and Candy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause She’s a Lady | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flame McGoon | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Shamrock | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bowl of Cherries | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ardis | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Arch | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roses R Blue | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orissa | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Forever | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Talker | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oubabe | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worse Read Sanchez | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mobou | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bud Knight | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrens Candy Man | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Gibraltar | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westphal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Granada Flavor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oculus | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Kingdom | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Economical | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Me Macho | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maynard | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Summer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Issa Court | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Beauty | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Current Mood | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laurel Canyon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Essential Business | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Babe | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Molly | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Queen Molotov | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Queen of Pompeii | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lilly Babe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Special | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Finish | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leyas Candy | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Know Cash Flow | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prayer of Jabez | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Breakout | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Americaredwhiteblu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fort Moultrie | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Barsabas | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hometown Hero | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spirit Maker | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stotland | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bender | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Weegee | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kingmeister | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | One Fast Bro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Today Matters | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Brit’s Wit | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.