Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Riverboat Gambler | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | With Verve | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alfie Solomons | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sounion | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoopla | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Direct Order | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glory Song | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | David’s Gem | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Higher Authority | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make Noise | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misread | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gunesh | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s All Class | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Gang That Sang | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seabrook | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scripps | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Act | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal Snow | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Key of Life | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Lovely | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Looking for Hope | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crackalacking | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twice as Sweet | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ribbonsinherhair | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santa Fe Gold | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mursal | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karma Ghia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark of the Z | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Unleashed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strike Me Down | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casanova Kitten | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mark of the Z | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Therideofalifetime | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joker On Jack | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robo Man | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Here | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Torontotoro | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One for Richie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beguine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mattie B | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nosilverspoonshere | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Jam | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Sights | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Towser | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Olga Isabel | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ring Me Darling | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Flirty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jag Warrior | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Code for Success | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halaga | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Ironsides | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dakota Run | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sir | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Welaka | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Bandit | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty’s Hauler | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mobster | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Collier’s Time | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Uncle Leon | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Z Z’s Prince | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fashion King | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Briterdayzahead | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Big Hat Willie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mabuhay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Easy Action | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Monba Quake | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.) – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Special Reserve | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Necker Island | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Gunner | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Alfred James | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sibelius | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Range Toddy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manny Wah | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Bear | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jpmorgan Chase Jessamine S.) – Jpmorgan Chase Jessamine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bling | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Promise of Hope | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Promise of Hope | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Gal | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Towhead | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabalenka | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Recognize | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delight | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dulcia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Knockyoursocksoff | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blind Spot | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C C Cruise Control | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bling | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stephanie’s Charm | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Southlawn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aztec Nights | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Play the Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tax Implications (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Darley Alcibiades S.) – Darley Alcibiades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Wheel | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sabra Tuff | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just Cindy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xigera | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infinite Diamond | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fun and Feisty | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kaling | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Sea | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Boss Lady Bailey | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Lady | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Essaouira | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chop Chop | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Take Charge Briana | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mustang Lady | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Queen Bourbon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fairchild | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Federalist Papers | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Martina | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Longpants Required | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Therearenorules | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Light Stars (FR) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roughly a Diamond | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Warrior | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Soft Touch | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maotai | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loved Reiko | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Go Big Blue Nation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.