Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Easy Big Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Beemster | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Good Dancer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Awakening | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vasy Says Nyet | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tsuris | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wilderzar | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maestoso | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Secrets | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cant Be Touched | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legerity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canary | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Run | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Edgee Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cortese | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Childers | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tumbarumba | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Billy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atkins | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Own the Field | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pappa’s Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drop Anchor | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Drop Anchor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Corn Pop | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Plemmonston | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Commander Compton | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Bronze Beast | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Consider | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | Mountain Ghost | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boxster | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | Money Run | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Salta | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Distorted Pro | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Colors | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | Louisianimal | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Olazabal | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Funny Uncle | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Family Man | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Home Run Trick | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | All West | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Bear Oak | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Leader of Men | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Pass | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Justin’s Quest | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Metaphysical | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | Lady Squared | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | Flirting Girl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Bella | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | 
| 10 | 10 | Midvale | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | 
| 9 | 9 | Bella Maker | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Destine to Race | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Lacie Be Good | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Lovin’ On the Run | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | East Shore | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breaking News | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Explosive | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | League of Legends | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Mahomey | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Koufax | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Money Mike | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Leblon | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Park On the Nile | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Berate | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | High Fashion | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | She’s Keen | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Roc’s Princess | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Marlee | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | 
| 4 | 4 | Outlining | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Princess | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | 
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Engrave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | 
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Point | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | 
| 3 | 3 | Shipman | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | 
| 7 | 7 | Skelly | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | 
| 5 | 5 | Victory March | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | 
| 2 | 2 | Mamzooj | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | 
| 10 | 10 | Allo Enry | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | 
| 8 | 8 | Touch Code | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | 
| 9 | 9 | Chiron | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | 
| 1 | 1 | Fowler Castle | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | 
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.