Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Two Rivers S.) – Two Rivers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Rocket Man 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Purty Darn Quick 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Juice Is Loose 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 There He Is Gone 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Apollitical Hero 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Azola Baban 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Fdd Princess 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Valley Junction Juvenile S.) – Valley Junction Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Malibu Bar B 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Jess B Jazzin 5.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Shine On Piloto 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Where Theres Sumoke 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sweet Candy Lips 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Gigi Tianna 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 My Vgw Hero 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Puts N the Work 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Im Jess an Angel 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Kosmos Reserve 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Altoona Derby) – Altoona Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nothin Like You 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Jess Give Mea Reason 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 One Fabulous Boy 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Jess Southard 5.00 4 7-1
2 2 Jess Candy Wagon 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Hard Rock Candy 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Nsm Parks Candy Girl 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Waitin On Eight 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Nouveaux 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Saints New Weapon 15.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Captivate This 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ima Freighttrain B 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Surprise Surprise 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Curls Patti Wagon 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 A Legacy of Tales 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Hes Underway 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Surprise Party 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 This the Marfa Light 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Makin It Rayne 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Water Or Corona 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Mp Magical Red 10.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Miss Kt Perry 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frankly Epic 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Poe Mans Ride 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Handsome Stranger 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Blue Paradise 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dirt Road Cowboy 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Blitzed 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bye Love Gotta Go 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Game to Play 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Garbo Speaks 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cold as You 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Papa’s Secret 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Picture Lady 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Private Lake 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Smokin Boots 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Fake Solution 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Grand Design 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Snap Hook 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hunka Burning Love 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Attain Success 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Keen Contender 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Wait a Sec 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kenzie Lou 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Loftyshipslowsails 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hey Nellie 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Miss Wildcat 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mucho Mia 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lucky Ain’t Enough 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Succession 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Nineteen Hundred 10.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Leading the Cause 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tap On By 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Edgy Lover 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Rays Big Dream 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Palace Jester 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Babys Time to Sing 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Simmering 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tapit’s Lady 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Nautical Miss 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Diamond of Ekati 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Risky Whisky 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kaylor 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Social Circle 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dixieland Candy 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 That Luvin Feeling 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Lets Take It Izzy 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Alpha Bella 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Flatoutandfoxy 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Flyta 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Snap Away 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.