Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Even Thunder | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicarage | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morocco | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pay the Kid | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Fate | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Albertano | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Long Chuck | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tappin for Glory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Indian | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Pots N Pans | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Event Party | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roan Mountain | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Ridge | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Danny Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Boss Logic | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gettin’downonit | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artico | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In God’s Time | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Word for Word | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Collection Day | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cripple Creek | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Duke of Gloucester | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Uncaptured Storm | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hop and Scotch | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Narciso Dali | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chief Harlan | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jeby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Battleoflexington | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Stellar Lute | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Battuta d’Oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Legal Deal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Where Paradise Lay | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Sicarii | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Band On Tour | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Expensive Style | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Omaha Red | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Empire | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | He Hate Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Chief Ron | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Passion Plus | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Delicious | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Macha | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surya | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Blushing | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cerulean | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mosalah | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amunet | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Corinna | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Coins | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Closet Shopper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Inanna’s Quest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Purrfect | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Amazon Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (First State Dash S.) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trouble | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riccio | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Weekend | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bandits Heart | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Howgreatisnate | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swifty Devil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cold Feet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | About Today (ARG) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chess Master | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Arion | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runningwscissors | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Defend | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Cents | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Classicstateofmind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mine Not Mine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruthenian | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Trick | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Boldacious | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am It | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor Speed | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Dice | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Wine Please | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.