Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shaymyname 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Leaping for Candy 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Theycallmelee 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Lucky Freedom 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Pharibe 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Santangelo 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Jackie’s Quest 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Arrogante 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Phlox 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Hawaiian Talent 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Freezer Burn 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Wicked Jane 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Dixieland Dancer 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Nurse Rachett 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Starship Reina 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Forest Halo 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Mosler’s Touch 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Salsa Rita 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Notion Interruptus 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ghost of Khozan 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Runyonesque 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Lucky for Shore 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hidden Rod 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Masterful One 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bushwick Bruiser 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Casamo 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Cherrys Cross 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Annagangsta 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Musical Cat 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Paynt by Number 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sneaky Cheeky 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Dia de Sol 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Abby the Bull Dawg 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Roselee 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leopardess (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 All About Me 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Inscrutable 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Bossyness 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Silent Story 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Biz as Usual 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Tres Maria’s Dream 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 I Gotta Bolt 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Trope 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hamo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Imperial King 6.00 1 2-1
1 2 Rad Paisley 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Powerfully Built 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mystery Mo 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 8 He’s a Shooter 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Dr. Doyle 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 South Sea 10.00 4.9 9-1
1A 6 San Antone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Small Wonder S.) – Small Wonder S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bound by Destiny 1.50 1 2-1
3 3 Chickieness 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Talk to the Judge 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Skylar’s Sister 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Shell Belle 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Unbridled Sass 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Blome 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 I Gotta Bolt 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tinas Shining Star 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Another Flirt 1.80 1.3 2-1
3 3 Sunday Swagger 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Offlee Graysful 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Saints Victory 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Crystal Orb 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 May Beau 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Ms Boombastic 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 C’Est Parti 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 School of Thought 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.