September 23, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hay Stack | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Implicated | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agua Dulce (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Invest Wisely | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misintention | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summertime Fun | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Sexy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mademoisellejackie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Splash (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Chance | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet as Sugar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Cinco | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Karen | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bastet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Cara | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bells On Her Toes | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | London Gold | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frosted Wild Ride | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ocean’s Reserve | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Refuah | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Today’s Flavor | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquist | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Central Pride | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baldizar | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Express | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Engine | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Excellent Timing | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Ghost | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Return | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majority Partner | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Engine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unique Unions | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jade’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bobby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inventing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beachfront Bid | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizzy in the Sky | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Signal From Noise | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winter Mischief | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mattapoisett | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolce Sera | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Into Happiness | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pout | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Who Me | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Witness | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Itsallcomintogetha | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fire King | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Emerald | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Comedy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Settle’s Dream | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Soldier | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasin’ You | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be of Courage | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tater and Tot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Twenty Six Black | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Disarmed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nobilis | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Uncle Marty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Joyful Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Orchestration | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C Falls | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Search for Truth | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Constitutionlawyer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Airman | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rewards | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Analogy | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parquetry | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fighter in the Win | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Small Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bold Victory | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cryo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Joseph A. Gimma S.) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Les Bon Temps | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gambling Girl | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Security Code | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mine | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Small Pebbles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Warsaichi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Gaze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lisa’s Vision | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rigby | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Fist | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame It On Mary | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flip My Id | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silken Dollar | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sinfully Sweet | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Busy Morning | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Bullet | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Masterof the Tunes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tis a Pity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Glittering Prize | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dufresne | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Virginia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.