September 22, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fourway Stop | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Passionate Dream | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caly Bali | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Pursuit | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Be Famous | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quarrel | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap It Up | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nightsaber (GB) | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Every Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lexi’s Spirit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lemon Bomb | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ein Gedi (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Caraggio (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Preposterous | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monshun | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Up the Score | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reigning Chick | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belarus | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaolin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Groove | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Man | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Cairo | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Big Blue Nation | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Mallomar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Community Adjusted | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Sky (IRE) | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | M. C. Double R | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | With Know Name | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Testa Dura | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Saratoga Banker | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Lincoln | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Central Love | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Destin Hoofman | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Somama Beach | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Fast Study | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Excalibrate | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Dr Greenthumb | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Silver Skillet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Disruption | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maya’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stonewall Star | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | La Conquistadora | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Pebble Lane | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Caribbean Breeze | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Three Unions | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 8 | The Splendid One | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Sweet Liberty | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Battle Station | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Phar Now | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quickflash | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Me ‘n Sap | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brew Pub | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shiraz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Foolish Ghost | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Neuro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Deep Cover | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yarrow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Swashbuckle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majority Partner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Unique Unions | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dreamful | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maybe Later | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Except Temptation | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rosemary Potatoes | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Spooky Road | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady of Thoroton | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Raffinity | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kerik | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extravagant Rosie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Air | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Alpine Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mia At Midnight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tapple Cider | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I’m Buzzy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Quaria Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mosienko | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snicket | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | To a T | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Cara | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chloe Rose | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight On Lucy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firing Carol | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devilly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Always Connected | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Birthday Time | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mostly Harmless | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devilly | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temerity | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Linn Pier | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Afilada | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Ginger | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Firefoot | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Divine Wine | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | She’s Awesome | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ricelle | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Belleshazza | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Diamant Damhsa (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.