September 18, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trig | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasmine Cartel | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feisti | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Separtely | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Hero | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Urbanisto | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just for Kixx | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kt Shelia Cartel | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call It Corona | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rm Crushonivory | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Tell Jess | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badrapidfastcat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sfs Happy Tail | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myownersbroke | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deal Me a Jess | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curls Ivory Princess | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kools Gotta Secret | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Ivory Eyes | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Cute | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dashing Coronado | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pull My Chain | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knocks Big Thirst | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Justin | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Rocket Science | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock City Rocket | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dreaminonthenile | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good N Lucky | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Rose | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be Sincere | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molly Bye O | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smackin Good Time | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Time Girl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tasha | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addababy | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little More Love | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wait a Sec | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kenzie Lou | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Guess Not | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feelssogoodinlove | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coco Bravado | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gambler Rocket | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Retaliated | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Stripe | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Me Up Brady | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road Bible | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whistlewhileyoumow | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Golden Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shemeansbizness | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girls in Charge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samira | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olive Oyl | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peggy Rules | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shesabidformidable | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chinlee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prideofdixiecreed | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daahers Bully | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Eli | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Say It Nicely | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hooked On Dreams | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Over Oliver | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Posse | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Moment | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Good Times | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Kat Taps | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Blessing | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Darling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Promising Shoes | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always a Catch | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Design | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gotta Love Ike | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Cactus | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Foxy Ace | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Killeen | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Company | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunk of a Hit | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Price to Pay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.