September 18, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Determined Hope | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Charm | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Mosler | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | In Her Cups | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Disco | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | French Kissing | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Art I Something | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Focus | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brzina | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Damanda | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twentyforkaratrose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sick Pack Sara | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Out | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hufflepuff | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dat Dares Gold | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eloquent Lady | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Checotah | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Luna | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rip It | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Justice | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arlo Bello | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fire d’Rocket | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Icandothat | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Thinker | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Peace | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep North | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quidditch | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond the Pale | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Natty Bird | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Magic Wizard | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Three O One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Tequila | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Swallow Beach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dashing Lou | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seize the Day | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rinne | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Pendleton | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Ferber | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Mas Grande | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Mosley | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | H R H Jellybean | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Never Satisfied | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fomo | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Pere | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gallant George | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Raise a Speights | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Rags | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Believeinrocknroll | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Angel | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Genius | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Noble Callisto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Eleazar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Remi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Algebraic | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost Game | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charge to Victory | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Askin for a Baskin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nashvegas | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He Hate Me | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glory Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Closer Look | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Free Dancer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Need a Marker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Namajunas | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ober Dare | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Never Done | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Las Olas | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Cube Baby | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luv U Mary Jane | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Blossom | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corali’s | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Color Crush | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volador | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Candy Girl | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jubilee Bridge | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequilera | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eiswein | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dawn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galilei | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Strike | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame the Irish | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bramble Bush | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wondrwherecraigis | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Token | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alwaysinahurry | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karan’s Notion | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Shot | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Torch of Truth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Martharita | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Senson | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camelia Rod | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Crunchy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Americas Woman | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Reply | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Anchor | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feel the Glory | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.