September 16, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials) – Trials
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jess Give Mea Reason | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Southard | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maybe a Dynasty | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ima Freighttrain B | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nsm Favorite Ice | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apolitical Sass | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Early Surprise | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials) – Trials
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nothin Like You | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captivate This | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Candy Wagon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Rock Candy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saints New Weapon | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stylish Flash | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials) – Trials
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Fabulous Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nsm Parks Candy Girl | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nouveaux | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five Bar Barbie | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waitin On Eight | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valtrata | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letyourliteshineonus | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Irish Contessa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Monday | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Sneaker | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic in a Hat | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Fact | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Get Loud | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unglued | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Farrah Fowler | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | S C Skylars Empire | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song of Praise | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Biz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Stroll | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kamea | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Wolf | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gettinhot’nhere | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Hunter | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brassy Fire | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Driver | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lurch | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harlons Commision | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blushing Scarlett | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jazz Brunch | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jack’s Party Girl | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brew Casa | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nocturnal Mission | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Me as I Am | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Tabby | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapit’s Lady | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trouble in Red | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Streakin’ Easy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rudy Tooty | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Firebaugh | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Nellie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Native Hellraiser | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Packin Man | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evil Knievel | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactical Rebel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Last Chant | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Three G | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Milton Street | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pure Crystal | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saw the Sunrise | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stroll Likn Outlaw | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Smoke | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop the Storm | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sole Survivor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Prime Time | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dirt Road Cowboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Handsome Stranger | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.