September 16, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toussaud’s Ransom | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Story | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grisette | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doomscroller | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Whistledown | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire At Midnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | I’m Pretty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Beckon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Mercury | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl’s On Fire | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crystal Coast | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Evangeline Allons | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Choice | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Fire | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Super Sally | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Misquillo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Startwithabang | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | White Lilacs | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maythehorsebwithu | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boondoggle | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No More Talk | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nomo Ron | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy the Kid | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Response | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Love Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ashara | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Tourist | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gift of Gab | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | At the Gate | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Police Woman | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tanka Tough | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bizzy Bizzy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iminchargenow | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twizlers Hurricane | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mashua | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Serious Moment | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | G G’s Dark Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Landon Jack | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Master of None | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Green Beans | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roan Burgundy | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Longworth | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bullitt McQueen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Israeli Army | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alottacents | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Inspired Irish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chromeplated Heart | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Killy Start | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Better Call Mama | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Vain | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ghostly Night | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tam Char | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chromeplated Heart | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Samana Laura | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’sarollingstone | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabs | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sidney Sue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Buckey’s Charm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pray for the U S A | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Foul Balls | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Blazing Star (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Laddie Liam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Thorny Tale | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Colonel Moorhead | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Two Kid | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Albertano | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Crusader | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Wentz | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Halite | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Captain Thunder | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Cozy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Game | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Resident Liberal | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Decision | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Kater | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thomond Park | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atreyu | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missin the Big Dog | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smile Bryan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Refi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sizzling Hot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fishers | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Eulee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Virtually | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’s Some Kiss | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Moon Bunny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Asue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.