September 10, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bliss This | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kefi | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blameitonthefun | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Dynamo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sloe Gin Biz | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sam Lords | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oboy | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Rocket | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | T Rex | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Marco | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballyhoo Prince | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calloway Peak | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rowdy Jess | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pursuing Pace | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watchnthegirlsgoby | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Transit | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | West Newton (GB) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Divine Law | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Offense | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Chow | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontinvademyspace | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heldish | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnyz From Albany | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavalry Command | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Escape | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judy’s Army | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Wolfman | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie’s On Fire | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Substantial | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Incredible | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nova Boy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excalibur | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oxide | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Nutter | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Palmer | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Vivian | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Sea | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Meliponini Bee | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sullivan Street | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morethanastorm | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lunar Ice | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Block Party | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nibbles | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fashionista | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nancy My Love | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Shine Again S.) – Shine Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Oxana | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swayin to and Fro | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deco Strong | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canoodle | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mattitude | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peyton Elizabeth | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No More Mask | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alberta Sun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sparkle Sprinkle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (All Along S.) – All Along S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In a Hurry | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | In a Hurry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Ali | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gladys | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Youens | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capital Structure (GB) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Lucerne | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Toast | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Lite The Fuse S.) – Lite The Fuse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wudda U Think Now | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Tempo | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sibelius | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wendell Fong | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nimitz Class | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jaxon Traveler | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Tocsin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Chief Ron | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pao Alto (FR) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Set Piece (GB) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | English Tavern | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bizzee Channel | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Field Pass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | C Two | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kobe’s Girl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isola | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hov Lane | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Despite the Gin | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Priestess | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heavenly Slam | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Following Wind | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Have Courage | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.